Sept. STEO Predicts NatGas Price to Stay Down Near $2 This Fall

Once a month, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) analysts issue the agency’s Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), their best guess about where energy prices and production will go in the next 12 months. Starting in June, the EIA axed its monthly Drilling Productivity Report that focused on shale plays and instead rolled it into the…

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Trend Accelerates: Pennsylvania Loses 2 More Rigs to West Virginia

A very big story is unfolding in the Marcellus/Utica, and nobody else is talking about it. There is a major reshuffling of rigs in the M-U, with Pennsylvania losing active rigs and West Virginia picking them up. Two weeks ago, PA dropped from 21 to 18 active rigs, the lowest count it has had in…

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IFO 2Q24 Report: New Wells Drilled, Production Both Down in Pa.

Yesterday, the Pennsylvania Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released its latest quarterly Natural Gas Production Report for April through June 2024 (full copy below). There were 63 new horizontal wells spud (drilled) in 2Q24, a decrease of 26 wells (-29%) compared to 2Q23. That number was also down significantly (37%) from the 100 wells spud in…

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Good News! U.S. LNG Exports On Track to More Than Double by 2028

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), North America’s liquefied natural gas (LNG) export capacity is on track to more than double between 2024 and 2028, from 11.4 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in 2023 to an astonishing 24.4 Bcf/d in 2028! That is, if all the projects currently under construction begin operations…

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Pennsylvania Dropped 3 Rigs Last Week, Lowest Count in 2.5 Years

The big news (for us) with the weekly Baker Hughes rig count is that last week, Pennsylvania laid down its use of three active drilling rigs, resulting in the lowest rig count in the state in 2 1/2 years. PA now operates 18 active rigs, down from 21 the week prior. The last time PA…

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IGU Report: Lack of Gas Investment Jeopardizes World Energy Supply

The International Gas Union (IGU), Snam, and Rystad Energy partnered (as they have in the past) to produce and release the Global Gas Report 2024 (full copy below). The authors are sounding the alarm. According to the study, should gas demand continue to grow as it has in the last four years without additional production…

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Report: PJM Electric Grid in Peril Due to PA Gov. Shapiro Policies

PJM Interconnection is the largest U.S. power grid operator, serving 65 million people in 13 states plus the District of Columbia (including PA, OH, and WV). PJM supplies power to more than 20% of the U.S. economy. Most of the states in PJM are not energy self-sufficient. They don’t produce enough electricity to meet their…

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Analyzing Monthly New Permit Trends for PA, OH, WV Shale

We spotted an article on the always-excellent NGI website (the Daily Gas Price Index) that said exploration and production (E&P) permitting activity shows a “summer slump” in natural gas plays, including in the Marcellus/Utica. The information in the article is from data compiled by Enverus and Evercore ISI. So, we decided to review our weekly…

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Exxon Global Outlook: 2050 Oil Demand Will Match Today’s 100+ MMBpd

ExxonMobil published its annual “The Global Outlook” yesterday, the company’s latest view of energy demand and supply through 2050. The document forms the basis for Exxon’s business planning and is “underpinned by a deep understanding of long-term market fundamentals.” Exxon is making short-term decisions based on this long-term document. And what does this document say?…

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Binghamton Univ. Study Says Drillers Bully Landowners to Sign Leases

A study led by Binghamton University and the University of Nevada, Las Vegas (UNLV) claims it has uncovered that energy companies pressure landowners into allowing hydraulic fracturing (fracking) on their properties, “often resorting to persistent and personalized tactics.” In other words, those nasty frackers bully poor landowners into signing leases. We have no doubt there…

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NatGas Continues to Crush All Other Forms of Fuel for Powergen

According to an analysis by Reuters, U.S. electricity generators consumed a record amount of natural gas in the first four months of the year as prices dropped to the lowest level in real terms for more than half a century. Ultra-low prices encouraged more power production from some of the least-efficient single-cycle gas and steam…

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O&G Group’s Annual Report Shows Production Up, Emissions Down

America’s natural gas and oil industry announced “a landmark partnership” in late 2017 called The Environmental Partnership to “accelerate improvements to environmental performance in operations across the country” for lowering methane emissions (see NatGas, Oil Industry Partnership to Accelerate Methane Reductions). The group, which includes most Marcellus/Utica drillers and pipeline companies, just released its sixth…

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Independent Monitoring of CNX Ops Shows No Public Health Threat

CNX Resources released its first Radical Transparency™ assessment report yesterday. The initial results of nine months of continuous air emissions monitoring at natural gas well sites and compressor stations in southwestern Pennsylvania indicate that CNX natural gas development poses no public health risk. Period. The data is collected and disseminated to the public by an…

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August STEO Predicts Avg Henry Hub Price Over $3 This Winter

Once a month, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) analysts issue the agency’s Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), their best guess about where energy prices and production will go in the next 12 months. Starting in June, the EIA axed its monthly Drilling Productivity Report that focused on shale plays and instead rolled it into the…

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